Thursday
To my son
"It is never too late to be what you might have been." You can start today to create the life you were meant to live, one small step at a time.
George Eliot (writer)
Or perhaps, "one big step from time to time."
Daniel O
Monday
The Story of Stuff
The Story of Stuff is an interesting short film, particularly in its last half. Writer and narrator Annie Leonard explains that the “golden arrow of consumption” is the heart of the modern economic system, a system that’s really only existed since the 1950s.
After World War II, planned obsolescence was incorporated into the production of consumer goods. Whereas quality and long life had once been a selling point, now things were intentionally designed with shorter lifespans. Obviously, this increased the rate of consumption.
Even more powerful, however, is the notion of perceived obsolescence. Perceived obsolescence is most obvious with regards to fashion. I suspect most readers try to divorce their purchase decisions from the clutch of fashion because they understand just how insidious it can be. Who wants to be seen wearing clothing from 1993?
But perceived obsolescence goes beyond just fashion. How many of you geeks still have your first iPod? Why did you move to a new one? Was anything wrong with the old one? Or were you, on some unconscious level, unwilling to be seen carrying around that brick anymore? (I’m guilty of having upgraded my iPod because my old one seemed out-of-date, so don’t think I’m condemning anyone.)
What is the cost of all this? Leonard says that 99% of the stuff we harvest, mine, process, transport, and consume is trash within six months. Only 1% of the materials used to produce consumer goods (including the goods themselves) are still used six months after the date of sale.
Here’s the best part of The Story of Stuff chapter five, “Consumption”:
Taken from "Get Rich Slowly" blog.
The Importance of Action!
The importance of action
I used to feel this way, too. I would look at the enormity of my debt — $20,000! $30,000! — and I would stop before I could even begin. This was, of course, completely self-defeating. The most important thing you can do to achieve your financial goals (or any goal, for that matter) is to take action. It matters little which action you take so long as you begin moving in the right direction. You might, for example:
* Start a RRSP account.
* Open a high-yield savings account.
* Cancel your cable television.
* Read a book about the stock market or go back to school.
* Learn to bake bread.
Don’t be paralyzed because you don’t know the best path to take. Pick one good path and follow it. Whatever your financial goal, that first small step is the most important. It leads from inaction to action. It leads to the future.
Closing the gap
While I was thinking about this yesterday, I stumbled upon a video from This American Life’s Ira Glass. On the surface, it seems completely unrelated to personal finance. And maybe it is. But I think that in these five minutes, Glass gets to the heart of success with any goal:
Ostensibly, Glass is speaking about story-telling. (Which is why I was actually watching this.) But what he’s really talking about is the process of mastery, of building skills and achieving goals.
Glass says that when you begin any endeavor, you’re a novice. You have a clear vision of what a successful person would do or be (debt-free, for example, or have a million dollars), but your own efforts aren’t anywhere near what you define as success. Maybe you still spend money on videogames or on handbags. Maybe you eat out too much. Whatever the case, there’s a gap between your view of success and your present abilities.
“A lot of people never get past that phase,” Glass says. “A lot of people at that point, they quit.”
But to succeed, you can’t quit. To achieve your dreams, you need to keep stumbling along. Nearly anyone who is successful, says Glass, goes through a period of months or years where they can tell that what they’re doing isn’t as good as they want it to be:
You gotta know that’s totally normal. The most important possible thing you can do is do a lot of work. Do a huge volume of work…It’s only by actually going through a volume of work that you’re actually going to catch up and close that gap, and the work you’re making will be as good as your ambitions.
Or, translated into the language of personal finance, keep practicing frugality. Keep saving money. Keep reading about the stock market. It’s only by continuing to do these things that they become habits, and it’s only by developing these habits that you’ll be able to meet your financial goals. Don’t be discouraged if you stumble. You will make mistakes. You need to fight your way through these. “You will be fierce,” Glass says. “You will be a warrior.”
But to begin, you need to take action. You need to take that first step. You need to begin walking in the direction of your dreams.
Article taken from "Get Rich Slowly"Thursday
A Glimpse at the Spending of the Average American
On Saturday, The New York Times published a brilliant chart illustrating the spending of the average American:
This chart is neat for several reasons:
The circle itself represents 100% of the average consumer’s spending. The circle is divided into eight large shapes, each of which is divided further into a number of smaller shapes. The size of each shape represents an estimate of what the average American spends on the category it represents. For example, gasoline is the largest shape in the transportation category.
Each shape is color-coded by the change in prices for that category between March 2007 and March 2008. The three dark red shapes (representing price increases of more than 40%) are all petroleum products. But eggs — with a 29.9% price increase — are close behind.
Hovering over any shape will reveal the category name, the share of spending from the average budget, and the amount by which prices have changed in the past year.
You can use the “zoom in” tool to get a better view of the action, and then drag the chart around to look at different categories. It’s only by doing this that you can see lettuce has its own category, and that the green, leafy stuff has declined in price by 3.2% over the past twelve months.
I’ll confess to feeling like a total geek because I spent twenty minutes exploring the different numbers. I even started taking notes and making extrapolations and comparisons.
For example, Americans, as a whole, spend three times as much money on cigarettes as they do on financial services. Actually, because we know that 0.7% of expenditures are made to cigarettes, and because we know that 21% of Americans smoke, then (if my math is right) about 3.5% of a smoker’s expenses go to cigarettes. (Note that I’m not criticizing. At one time, comic books accounted for 7% of my own expenses.)
I would love to find more charts and graphs like this one. (The New York Times has a history of producing great charts and graphs, such as their graph of home values from 2006 and their rent vs. buy calculator.)
[The New York Times: All of inflation's little parts]
Saturday
Global Warming!
How to Talk to a Climate Skeptic
Below is a complete listing of the articles in "How to Talk to a Climate Skeptic," a series by Coby Beck containing responses to the most common skeptical arguments on global warming. There are four separate taxonomies; arguments are divided by:
Individual articles will appear under multiple headings and may even appear in multiple subcategories in the same heading.
Stages of Denial
A. There's nothing happening
1. Inadequate evidence
- There is no evidence
- One record year is not global warming
- The temperature record is simply unreliable
- One hundred years is not enough
- Glaciers have always grown and receded
- Warming is due to the Urban Heat Island effect
- Mauna Loa is a volcano
- The scientists aren't even sure
- It's cold today in Wagga Wagga
- Antarctic ice is growing
- The satellites show cooling
- What about mid-century cooling?
- Global warming stopped in 1998
- But the glaciers are not melting
- Antarctic sea ice is increasing
- Observations show climate sensitivity is not very high
- Sea level in the Arctic is falling
- Some sites show cooling
- Global warming is a hoax
- There is no consensus
- Position statements hide debate
- Consensus is collusion
- Peiser refuted Oreskes
1. Models don't work
- We cannot trust unproven computer models
- The models don't have clouds
- If aerosols are blocking the sun, the south should warm faster
- Observations show climate sensitivity is not very high
3. We can't be sure
- Hansen has been wrong before
- If we can't understand the past, how can we understand the present?
- The scientists aren't even sure
- They predicted global cooling in the 1970s
1. It happened before
- It was warmer during the Holocene Climatic Optimum
- The medieval warm period was just as warm as today
- Greenland used to be green
- Global warming is nothing new!
- The hockey stick is broken
- Vineland was full of grapes
- Current global warming is just part of a natural cycle
- Mars and Pluto are warming too
- CO2 in the air comes mostly from volcanoes
- The null hypothesis says global warming is natural
- Climate is always changing
- Natural emissions dwarf human emissions
- The CO2 rise is natural
- We are just recovering from the LIA
- Climate scientists dodge the subject of water vapor
- Water vapor accounts for almost all of the greenhouse effect
- There is no proof that CO2 is causing global warming
- Mars and Pluto are warming too
- CO2 doesn't lead, it lags
- What about mid-century cooling?
- Geological history does not support CO2's importance
- Historically, CO2 never caused temperature change
- It's the sun, stupid
1. The effects are good
2. The effects are minor
3. Change is normal
E. Climate change can't be stopped
1. Too late
2. It's someone else's problem
3. Economically infeasible
Scientific Topics
A. Temperature
- There is no evidence
- The temperature record is simply unreliable
- One hundred years is not enough
- Current global warming is just part of a natural cycle
- What's wrong with warmer weather?
- It's cold today in Wagga Wagga
- Warming is due to the Urban Heat Island effect
- The satellites show cooling
- Global warming stopped in 1998
- They predicted global cooling in the 1970s
- Some sites show cooling
C. Extreme events
1. Temperature records
2. Storms
3. Droughts
D. Cryosphere
1. Glaciers
2. Sea ice
3. Ice sheets
E. Oceans
F. Modeling
1. Scenarios
2. Uncertainties
- We can't even predict the weather next week
- Chaotic systems are not predictable
- We cannot trust unproven computer models
- The models don't have clouds
1. Solar influences
2. Greenhouse gases
- Climate scientists dodge the subject of water vapor
- Water vapor accounts for almost all of the greenhouse effect
- There is no proof that CO2 is causing global warming
- CO2 doesn't lead, it lags
- CO2 in the air comes mostly from volcanoes
- What about mid-century cooling?
- Geological history does not support CO2's importance
- Natural emissions dwarf human emissions
- Mauna Loa is a volcano
- The CO2 rise is natural
- Historically, CO2 never caused temperature change
- The US is a net CO2 sink
- Observations show climate sensitivity is not very high
H. Paleo climate
1. Holocene
- It was warmer during the Holocene Climatic Optimum
- The medieval warm period was just as warm as today
- Greenland used to be green
- The hockey stick is broken
- Vineland was full of grapes
- We are just recovering from the LIA
3. Geologic history
- What's wrong with warmer weather?
- Geological history does not support CO2's importance
- Climate is always changing
- Historically, CO2 never caused temperature change
- If we can't understand the past, how can we understand the present?
- Global warming is a hoax
- There is no proof that CO2 is causing global warming
- There is no consensus
- The null hypothesis says global warming is natural
- Position statements hide debate
- If we can't understand the past, how can we understand the present?
- The scientists aren't even sure
- Consensus is collusion
- Peiser refuted Oreskes
1. Uninformed
- There is no evidence
- One record year is not global warming
- One hundred years is not enough
- There is no proof that CO2 is causing global warming
- What's wrong with warmer weather?
- Climate change mitigation would lead to disaster
- There is no consensus
- We cannot trust unproven computer models
- It was warmer during the Holocene Climatic Optimum
- The medieval warm period was just as warm as today
- Antarctic ice is growing
- CO2 in the air comes mostly from volcanoes
- Greenland used to be green
- The satellites show cooling
- Natural emissions dwarf human emissions
- It's the sun, stupid
- The U.S. is a net CO2 sink
- But the glaciers are not melting
- Antarctic sea ice is increasing
- They predicted global cooling in the 1970s
- Vineland was full of grapes
- It's cold today in Wagga Wagga
- Antarctic sea ice is growing
- The satellites show cooling
- Global warming stopped in 1998
- Antarctic sea ice is increasing
- Vineland was full of grapes
- Observations show climate sensitivity is not very high
- The sea level in the Arctic is falling
- Some sites show cooling
- The medieval warm period was just as warm as today
- CO2 in the air comes mostly from volcanoes
- Greenland used to be green
- Hansen has been wrong before
- They predicted global cooling in the 1970s
- Vineland was full of grapes
- The temperature record is simply unreliable
- Glaciers have always grown and receded
- Climate scientists dodge the subject of water vapor
- Water vapor accounts for almost all of the greenhouse effect
- Current global warming is just part of a natural cycle
- Kyoto is a big effort for almost nothing
- Mars and Pluto are warming too
- It's cold today in Wagga Wagga
- CO2 doesn't lead, it lags
- There is no consensus
- Antarctic ice is growing
- Warming is due to the Urban Heat Island effect
- We can't even predict the weather next week
- Chaotic systems are not predictable
- What about mid-century cooling?
- The null hypothesis says global warming is natural
- Geological history does not support CO2's importance
- Climate is always changing
- Natural emissions dwarf human emissions
- Mauna Loa is a volcano
- Global warming is nothing new!
- The CO2 rise is natural
- The hockey stick is broken
- Historically, CO2 never caused temperature change
- The models don't have clouds
- Global warming stopped in 1998
- If we can't understand the past, how can we understand the present?
- If aerosols are blocking the sun, the south should warm faster
- The scientists aren't even sure
- Antarctic sea ice is increasing
- Peiser refuted Oreskes
- Vineland was full of grapes
- Observations show climate sensitivity is not very high
- Sea level in the Arctic is falling
- We are just recovering from the LIA
- Global warming is a hoax
- Kyoto is a big effort for almost nothing
- Why should the U.S. join Kyoto when China and India haven't?
- Hansen has been wrong before
- Position statements hide debate
- The scientists aren't even sure
- Consensus is collusion
- They predicted global cooling in the 1970s
8. Crackpottery
Levels of Sophistication
1. Silly
- There is no evidence
- Global warming is a hoax
- One record year is not global warming
- Climate change mitigation would lead to disaster
- Mars and Pluto are warming too
- Mauna Loa is a volcano
- One hundred years is not enough
- Glaciers have always grown and receded
- Why should the U.S. join Kyoto when China and India haven't?
- It's cold today in Wagga Wagga
- CO2 in the air comes mostly from volcanoes
- We can't even predict the weather next week
- We can not trust unproven computer models
- The satellites show cooling
- Natural emissions dwarf human emissions
- The models don't have clouds
- Global warming stopped in 1998
- It's the sun, stupid
- If we can't understand the past, how can we understand the present?
- The scientists aren't even sure
- Vineland was full of grapes
- Some sites show cooling
- The temperature record is simply unreliable
- Climate scientists dodge the subject of water vapor
- There is no proof that CO2 is causing global warming
- Current global warming is just part of a natural cycle
- It was warmer during the Holocene Climatic Optimum
- The medieval warm period was just as warm as today
- What's wrong with warmer weather?
- Kyoto is a big effort for almost nothing
- CO2 doesn't lead, it lags
- There is no consensus
- Antarctic ice is growing
- Warming is due to the Urban Heat Island effect
- Greenland used to be green
- What about mid-century cooling?
- The null hypothesis says global warming is natural
- Geological history does not support CO2's importance
- Climate is always changing
- Global warming is nothing new!
- The CO2 rise is natural
- Historically, CO2 never caused temperature change
- Hansen has been wrong before
- Position statements hide debate
- But the glaciers are not melting
- If aerosols are blocking the sun, the south should warm faster
- Antarctic sea ice is increasing
- Consensus is collusion
- They predicted global cooling in the 1970s
- Peiser refuted Oreskes
- Vineland was full of grapes
- Water vapor accounts for almost all of the greenhouse effect
- Chaotic systems are not predictable
- The hockey stick is broken
- Observations show climate sensitivity is not very high
- Sea level in the Arctic is falling
- We are just recovering from the LIA
Gristmill
http://gristmill.grist.org